Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032127 0.035047 0.037980 0.041139 0.044442 0.047786 0.051422
2026-02-01 0.026859 0.031148 0.035595 0.040527 0.045822 0.051315 0.057423
2026-02-08 0.023066 0.028324 0.033938 0.040323 0.047333 0.054749 0.063143
2026-02-15 0.020883 0.026971 0.033636 0.041377 0.050030 0.059325 0.069987
2026-02-22 0.019026 0.025769 0.033325 0.042267 0.052419 0.063466 0.076278
2026-03-01 0.017220 0.024448 0.032731 0.042708 0.054198 0.066846 0.081658
2026-03-08 0.015598 0.023196 0.032098 0.042996 0.055715 0.069860 0.086570
2026-03-15 0.014550 0.022548 0.032098 0.043954 0.057942 0.073632 0.092295
2026-03-22 0.012760 0.020837 0.030712 0.043182 0.058085 0.074968 0.095212
2026-03-29 0.011654 0.019917 0.030226 0.043426 0.059368 0.077571 0.099535
2026-04-05 0.010837 0.019312 0.030081 0.044044 0.061059 0.080620 0.104349
2026-04-12 0.009943 0.018538 0.029674 0.044297 0.062282 0.083098 0.108485
2026-04-19 0.008347 0.016700 0.027846 0.042762 0.061353 0.083080 0.109776
2026-04-26 0.007297 0.015557 0.026869 0.042251 0.061637 0.084472 0.112698
2026-05-03 0.006473 0.014681 0.026200 0.042096 0.062330 0.086332 0.116158
2026-05-10 0.006145 0.014538 0.026515 0.043202 0.064580 0.090051 0.121810
2026-05-17 0.005786 0.014317 0.026701 0.044126 0.066594 0.093484 0.127124
2026-05-24 0.005314 0.013872 0.026547 0.044584 0.068010 0.096187 0.131567
2026-05-31 0.004835 0.013373 0.026290 0.044882 0.069210 0.098619 0.135681
2026-06-07 0.004583 0.013242 0.026549 0.045865 0.071273 0.102098 0.141046
2026-06-14 0.003893 0.012263 0.025523 0.045075 0.071047 0.102763 0.143026
2026-06-21 0.003519 0.011824 0.025272 0.045325 0.072143 0.105038 0.146934
2026-06-28 0.003262 0.011583 0.025308 0.045958 0.073726 0.107908 0.151554